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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.44+9.02vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.45+6.23vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.44vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+1.12vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+0.77vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+3.42vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.54+1.59vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.04-1.95vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.65+2.53vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.13+0.88vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38-2.32vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.34-2.66vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-0.01vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-3.71vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.93-3.94vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.20-2.30vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.95-5.95vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.26-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.02Tufts University1.444.3%1st Place
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8.23College of Charleston1.456.2%1st Place
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8.44St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.8%1st Place
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5.12Cornell University2.3813.9%1st Place
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5.77Georgetown University2.2012.4%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.975.3%1st Place
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8.59University of South Florida1.546.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Naval Academy2.0410.8%1st Place
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11.53Connecticut College0.652.6%1st Place
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10.88Fordham University1.133.0%1st Place
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8.68Jacksonville University-1.385.9%1st Place
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9.34Tulane University1.344.9%1st Place
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12.99University of Vermont0.481.5%1st Place
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10.29Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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11.06George Washington University0.933.0%1st Place
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13.7Washington College0.201.6%1st Place
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11.05Old Dominion University0.953.1%1st Place
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9.83North Carolina State University1.264.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Holder | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Grace Squires | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Bridget Green | 13.9% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Emily Allen | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 19.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 26.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.