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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.10vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+6.52vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.13+7.94vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+1.13vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.44+4.89vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.65+5.46vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.60vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.45+0.01vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+1.53vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-4.16vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.26-1.14vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.34-2.49vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.54-4.25vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University-1.38-5.43vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.95-4.09vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.93-5.18vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.20-3.37vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.48-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.1%1st Place
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8.52St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.8%1st Place
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10.94Fordham University1.133.5%1st Place
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5.13Cornell University2.3814.1%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University1.444.4%1st Place
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11.46Connecticut College0.652.8%1st Place
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9.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.6%1st Place
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8.01College of Charleston1.457.5%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University1.184.0%1st Place
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5.84Georgetown University2.2012.8%1st Place
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9.86North Carolina State University1.264.5%1st Place
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9.51Tulane University1.345.1%1st Place
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8.75University of South Florida1.544.8%1st Place
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8.57Jacksonville University-1.386.0%1st Place
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10.91Old Dominion University0.953.0%1st Place
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10.82George Washington University0.933.8%1st Place
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13.63Washington College0.201.6%1st Place
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12.92University of Vermont0.481.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Bridget Green | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Grace Squires | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Emily Allen | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 26.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.