← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.38+4.00vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.44+8.16vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College0.65+8.27vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University0.95+6.93vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+4.38vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.37vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.13+3.89vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.18+2.36vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.04-3.07vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University-1.38-1.28vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.20-5.36vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University1.26-2.07vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston1.45-4.61vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University1.34-4.47vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida1.54-6.26vs Predicted
-
16Washington College0.20-2.24vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.48-3.98vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University0.93-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.0Cornell University2.3814.6%1st Place
-
10.16Tufts University1.443.8%1st Place
-
11.27Connecticut College0.653.0%1st Place
-
10.93Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
-
9.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.975.1%1st Place
-
8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.5%1st Place
-
10.89Fordham University1.133.4%1st Place
-
10.36Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
-
5.93U. S. Naval Academy2.0411.7%1st Place
-
8.72Jacksonville University-1.384.2%1st Place
-
5.64Georgetown University2.2013.1%1st Place
-
9.93North Carolina State University1.264.2%1st Place
-
8.39College of Charleston1.455.9%1st Place
-
9.53Tulane University1.344.5%1st Place
-
8.74University of South Florida1.545.0%1st Place
-
13.76Washington College0.201.7%1st Place
-
13.02University of Vermont0.481.9%1st Place
-
10.98George Washington University0.932.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 14.6% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Grace Squires | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 28.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 20.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.