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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.37+6.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.69+7.27vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+2.68vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+1.17vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+2.51vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.79+3.02vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34+0.06vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.34+3.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.52+1.42vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07-1.75vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.09-4.26vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17+0.91vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-1.94vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.68-4.30vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.54-3.36vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.48-5.31vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.13-4.89vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.68-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Georgetown University1.377.6%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University0.695.3%1st Place
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5.68Cornell University1.7911.8%1st Place
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5.17College of Charleston1.8114.3%1st Place
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7.51Northeastern University1.228.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island0.795.0%1st Place
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7.06Tulane University1.347.8%1st Place
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11.9Connecticut College0.342.5%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Naval Academy0.524.0%1st Place
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8.25George Washington University1.075.9%1st Place
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6.74North Carolina State University1.099.5%1st Place
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12.91Eckerd College-0.171.9%1st Place
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11.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.5%1st Place
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9.7Old Dominion University0.683.9%1st Place
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11.64Fordham University0.542.2%1st Place
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10.69Jacksonville University0.483.6%1st Place
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12.11University of Vermont-0.133.1%1st Place
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14.47Washington College-0.681.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Spearman | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 15.9% |
| Brook Wood | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Megan Geith | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.