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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.34+5.93vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+4.73vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.79+6.12vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.68+5.76vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.79+0.73vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.68+8.43vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+0.43vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.52+2.59vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+1.74vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.37-2.65vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-5.99vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.34-0.05vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-3.81vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-1.76vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College-0.17-1.87vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.07-7.89vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.54-5.25vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University0.48-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Tulane University1.348.6%1st Place
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6.73North Carolina State University1.098.9%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island0.795.1%1st Place
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9.76Old Dominion University0.683.9%1st Place
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5.73Cornell University1.7911.8%1st Place
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14.43Washington College-0.681.2%1st Place
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7.43Northeastern University1.228.6%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Naval Academy0.522.9%1st Place
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10.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.563.0%1st Place
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7.35Georgetown University1.376.7%1st Place
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5.01College of Charleston1.8115.4%1st Place
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11.95Connecticut College0.342.4%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University0.694.6%1st Place
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12.24University of Vermont-0.132.4%1st Place
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13.13Eckerd College-0.171.8%1st Place
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8.11George Washington University1.077.4%1st Place
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11.75Fordham University0.542.4%1st Place
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10.82Jacksonville University0.483.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Spearman | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Megan Geith | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 33.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Brook Wood | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 15.4% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.4% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 17.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.