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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.34+6.12vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.37+5.44vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+3.83vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.79+5.09vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.79+0.53vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+1.56vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52+3.48vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.68+1.69vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81-3.98vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+0.59vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.07-2.79vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.34-0.05vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.54-1.37vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.69-5.11vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.48-4.18vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College-0.17-2.93vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.13-4.74vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.68-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Tulane University1.348.2%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University1.377.3%1st Place
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6.83North Carolina State University1.098.6%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island0.794.6%1st Place
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5.53Cornell University1.7912.7%1st Place
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7.56Northeastern University1.227.3%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Naval Academy0.522.9%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University0.685.3%1st Place
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5.02College of Charleston1.8115.5%1st Place
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10.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.563.8%1st Place
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8.21George Washington University1.075.8%1st Place
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11.95Connecticut College0.342.4%1st Place
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11.63Fordham University0.541.9%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University0.695.7%1st Place
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10.82Jacksonville University0.483.1%1st Place
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13.07Eckerd College-0.172.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Vermont-0.131.9%1st Place
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14.82Washington College-0.681.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Spearman | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Megan Geith | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 15.5% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.