← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.09+5.78vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.81+3.19vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.22+4.62vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College0.34+8.12vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University1.37+2.48vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.79+3.16vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy0.52+3.46vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+2.65vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.07-0.66vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University0.68-0.30vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University0.54+0.66vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University1.79-6.42vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University0.48-2.20vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University1.34-6.84vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont-0.13-2.65vs Predicted
-
16Washington College-0.68-1.46vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.16-8.41vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College-0.17-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.78North Carolina State University1.098.9%1st Place
-
5.19College of Charleston1.8113.5%1st Place
-
7.62Northeastern University1.227.5%1st Place
-
12.12Connecticut College0.342.5%1st Place
-
7.48Georgetown University1.377.8%1st Place
-
9.16University of Rhode Island0.795.6%1st Place
-
10.46U. S. Naval Academy0.523.4%1st Place
-
10.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.563.6%1st Place
-
8.34George Washington University1.076.7%1st Place
-
9.7Old Dominion University0.684.3%1st Place
-
11.66Fordham University0.542.5%1st Place
-
5.58Cornell University1.7911.7%1st Place
-
10.8Jacksonville University0.482.9%1st Place
-
7.16Tulane University1.348.3%1st Place
-
12.35University of Vermont-0.131.9%1st Place
-
14.54Washington College-0.681.2%1st Place
-
8.59Tufts University1.165.9%1st Place
-
12.81Eckerd College-0.171.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Brook Wood | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Megan Geith | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Lucy Spearman | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 34.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.