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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.16+7.46vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+8.88vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+2.28vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+2.69vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.34+6.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52+4.52vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.79+2.29vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22-0.43vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79-3.43vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07-1.71vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.13+1.18vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17+1.02vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.34-5.85vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.68-4.19vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.48-4.07vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.54-4.38vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.68-2.50vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.37-10.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Tufts University1.166.2%1st Place
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10.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.7%1st Place
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5.28College of Charleston1.8113.1%1st Place
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6.69North Carolina State University1.099.3%1st Place
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11.91Connecticut College0.342.8%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Naval Academy0.523.2%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island0.795.6%1st Place
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7.57Northeastern University1.227.8%1st Place
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5.57Cornell University1.7911.8%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University1.076.2%1st Place
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12.18University of Vermont-0.132.8%1st Place
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13.02Eckerd College-0.171.8%1st Place
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7.15Tulane University1.347.7%1st Place
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9.81Old Dominion University0.684.5%1st Place
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10.93Jacksonville University0.483.5%1st Place
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11.62Fordham University0.542.9%1st Place
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14.5Washington College-0.681.4%1st Place
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7.35Georgetown University1.376.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Fedde | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Brook Wood | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 17.8% |
| Lucy Spearman | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Megan Geith | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 34.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.