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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.27+4.83vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.44+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.26+7.54vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.50+1.15vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.60-0.12vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.19-0.13vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+3.91vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.19-1.44vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.21-1.67vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.67-5.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.68+2.62vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.57-3.53vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-4.34vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.93-3.82vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.97-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Penn State University0.279.0%1st Place
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5.49Columbia University0.4410.5%1st Place
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10.54University of Delaware-1.262.2%1st Place
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5.15SUNY Maritime College0.5010.7%1st Place
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4.88Christopher Newport University0.6013.3%1st Place
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5.87Syracuse University0.199.8%1st Place
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10.91SUNY Stony Brook-0.601.6%1st Place
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6.56Washington College0.198.6%1st Place
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7.33William and Mary-0.216.7%1st Place
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4.28Virginia Tech0.6717.3%1st Place
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13.62U. S. Military Academy-2.680.2%1st Place
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8.47Princeton University-0.574.0%1st Place
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8.66Rochester Institute of Technology-0.643.3%1st Place
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10.18Drexel University-0.932.1%1st Place
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12.25Rutgers University-1.970.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 7.3% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 10.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 7.5% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| James Lilyquist | 17.3% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 16.9% | 55.9% |
| William Roberts | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Kayla Maguire | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 27.3% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.