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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.58+2.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+3.40vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.74+2.80vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley2.60+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.92+0.21vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.50-2.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis2.13+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine2.83-2.57vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-3.56vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles2.21-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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5.8Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.04University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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3.87Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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5.43University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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5.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Vetter | 19.5% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.1% |
| Samuel Harrison | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% |
| Cody Shevitz | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 11.5% |
| Zachary Hester | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Nick Dugdale | 18.8% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 25.6% |
| Jack Porter | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% |
| Patrick Soper | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 6.7% |
| Mark Anders | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.