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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.52+9.27vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+3.70vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+2.32vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+7.06vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.09+1.80vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37+1.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.16+1.70vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.68+2.15vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.79-0.79vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.54+0.68vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.240.00vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.34-0.78vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.34-6.89vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.82-5.51vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.07-7.69vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College-0.17-3.76vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.68-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.27U. S. Naval Academy0.523.5%1st Place
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5.7Cornell University1.7912.2%1st Place
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5.32College of Charleston1.8112.3%1st Place
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11.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.8%1st Place
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6.8North Carolina State University1.099.8%1st Place
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7.41Georgetown University1.377.8%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University1.166.2%1st Place
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10.15Old Dominion University0.683.3%1st Place
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7.52Northeastern University1.227.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island0.795.2%1st Place
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11.68Fordham University0.543.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Vermont0.242.5%1st Place
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12.22Connecticut College0.342.6%1st Place
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7.11Tulane University1.348.5%1st Place
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9.49Jacksonville University0.825.0%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University1.076.0%1st Place
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13.24Eckerd College-0.171.2%1st Place
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14.77Washington College-0.680.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Megan Geith | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% |
| Lucy Spearman | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.