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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.52+9.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.79+7.26vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.34+9.11vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+2.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+3.57vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.37+1.42vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.82+2.57vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22-0.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.07-0.72vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.54+1.82vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.79-5.29vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.81-6.75vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.34-5.99vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.24-1.91vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-3.92vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.68-6.19vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.68-2.31vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College-0.17-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.59U. S. Naval Academy0.523.2%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island0.794.9%1st Place
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12.11Connecticut College0.341.8%1st Place
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6.8North Carolina State University1.099.4%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University1.165.8%1st Place
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7.42Georgetown University1.377.7%1st Place
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9.57Jacksonville University0.824.5%1st Place
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7.83Northeastern University1.226.6%1st Place
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8.28George Washington University1.075.9%1st Place
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11.82Fordham University0.542.3%1st Place
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5.71Cornell University1.7912.4%1st Place
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5.25College of Charleston1.8114.1%1st Place
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7.01Tulane University1.348.6%1st Place
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12.09University of Vermont0.242.9%1st Place
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11.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.563.5%1st Place
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9.81Old Dominion University0.683.8%1st Place
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14.69Washington College-0.680.7%1st Place
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13.13Eckerd College-0.171.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 14.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Spearman | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.5% |
| Brook Wood | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Megan Geith | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 35.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.