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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+4.83vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.79+7.33vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+2.29vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.82+5.62vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.34+2.38vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.54+5.80vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.68+2.92vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86-2.36vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.09-1.98vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-2.31vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+0.20vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.16-3.20vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.52-2.36vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.34-1.85vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.68-0.27vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-3.79vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College-0.17-3.75vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.07-9.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Cornell University1.7912.3%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island0.794.2%1st Place
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5.29College of Charleston1.8114.8%1st Place
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9.62Jacksonville University0.824.8%1st Place
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7.38Tulane University1.346.7%1st Place
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11.8Fordham University0.542.1%1st Place
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9.92Old Dominion University0.684.2%1st Place
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5.64Georgetown University1.8611.9%1st Place
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7.02North Carolina State University1.097.8%1st Place
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7.69Northeastern University1.226.6%1st Place
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11.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.9%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University1.164.5%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Naval Academy0.524.0%1st Place
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12.15Connecticut College0.342.2%1st Place
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14.73Washington College-0.680.9%1st Place
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12.21University of Vermont0.242.2%1st Place
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13.25Eckerd College-0.171.6%1st Place
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8.51George Washington University1.076.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 14.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Lucy Spearman | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 8.1% |
| Megan Geith | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Brook Wood | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 36.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 18.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.