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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+4.84vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+3.24vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.34+4.29vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.82+5.70vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+6.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52+4.55vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+1.03vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.54+3.86vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.16-0.07vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.52+1.13vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-5.34vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24+0.16vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.68-3.03vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.09-6.88vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.07-6.57vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-5.88vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.68-2.34vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College-0.17-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Cornell University1.7911.6%1st Place
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5.24College of Charleston1.8113.8%1st Place
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7.29Tulane University1.348.3%1st Place
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9.7Jacksonville University0.823.5%1st Place
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11.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.562.9%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Naval Academy0.523.2%1st Place
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8.03Northeastern University1.226.9%1st Place
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11.86Fordham University0.541.7%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University1.165.5%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College0.523.4%1st Place
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5.66Georgetown University1.8611.6%1st Place
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12.16University of Vermont0.242.1%1st Place
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9.97Old Dominion University0.683.4%1st Place
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7.12North Carolina State University1.099.0%1st Place
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8.43George Washington University1.076.4%1st Place
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10.12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.614.2%1st Place
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14.66Washington College-0.681.2%1st Place
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13.28Eckerd College-0.171.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 13.8% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Spearman | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Brook Wood | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 9.4% |
| Megan Geith | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Lily Flack | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 38.5% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.