Race 1A

icebreaker-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Adam Larzelere 16.9% 16.4% 14.9% 14.0% 10.8% 10.0% 7.4% 5.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Iain Jaeger 12.3% 10.3% 9.4% 11.9% 10.4% 10.3% 9.9% 10.3% 8.1% 5.8% 1.3%
William Wiegand 11.2% 11.4% 12.2% 10.0% 12.2% 10.5% 10.0% 8.8% 7.2% 4.9% 1.6%
Niall Sheridan 15.3% 16.2% 13.5% 13.2% 10.7% 10.1% 7.5% 7.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6%
Gavin Sanborn 12.3% 12.4% 13.5% 10.8% 11.7% 10.4% 9.4% 8.2% 6.5% 3.8% 1.2%
William Procter 2.0% 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 4.3% 5.9% 9.6% 14.8% 51.7%
Andy Leshaw 6.8% 7.4% 7.8% 9.6% 9.8% 10.0% 10.7% 11.7% 10.8% 9.8% 5.7%
Keller Morrison 9.0% 8.5% 9.8% 9.8% 11.5% 10.3% 11.5% 8.9% 9.8% 8.0% 2.8%
Sylvia Burns 5.2% 4.7% 6.0% 7.2% 7.4% 8.3% 10.3% 11.9% 14.2% 15.0% 9.5%
Harry Stevenson 4.6% 6.0% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 13.2% 17.3% 11.5%
Sean Crandall 4.3% 5.0% 4.8% 5.4% 6.2% 8.1% 9.1% 11.7% 14.2% 17.5% 13.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.