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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.16+2.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.78+2.24vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.56+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.50+1.27vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.33+0.79vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.48-1.08vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.90vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.70-0.81vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.33-1.71vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.42-0.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.17-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Tufts University1.1617.5%1st Place
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4.24Tufts University0.7817.4%1st Place
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4.88University of Vermont0.5611.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Rhode Island0.5010.8%1st Place
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5.79Brown University0.337.2%1st Place
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4.92Boston University0.4810.9%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.037.4%1st Place
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7.19Salve Regina University-0.705.7%1st Place
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7.29Bates College-0.335.7%1st Place
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9.35Middlebury College-1.421.6%1st Place
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7.05Northeastern University-0.174.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larzelere | 17.5% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Niall Sheridan | 17.4% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 11.1% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Iain Jaeger | 10.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Keller Morrison | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| William Wiegand | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 12.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 12.8% |
| William Procter | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 52.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.