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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.78+3.21vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.48+2.98vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.16+0.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.33+1.71vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.33+2.29vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.56-1.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.50-2.68vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.42+0.41vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University-0.17-3.07vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.70-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Tufts University0.7816.8%1st Place
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4.98Boston University0.4811.6%1st Place
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3.91Tufts University1.1618.3%1st Place
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5.71Brown University0.337.8%1st Place
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7.29Bates College-0.334.9%1st Place
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4.8University of Vermont0.5613.8%1st Place
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6.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.036.2%1st Place
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5.32University of Rhode Island0.509.0%1st Place
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9.41Middlebury College-1.421.4%1st Place
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6.93Northeastern University-0.175.7%1st Place
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7.32Salve Regina University-0.704.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 16.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| William Wiegand | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 18.3% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 12.6% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 13.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Iain Jaeger | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| William Procter | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 53.7% |
| Sylvia Burns | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 9.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.