Race 4A

icebreaker-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Adam Larzelere 18.5% 16.2% 14.8% 13.1% 12.2% 8.6% 7.0% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Niall Sheridan 15.2% 15.2% 14.2% 12.6% 11.1% 10.4% 6.7% 7.0% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7%
Gavin Sanborn 11.3% 11.7% 11.9% 11.8% 10.4% 10.7% 10.6% 8.9% 7.1% 4.4% 1.1%
William Wiegand 11.6% 10.7% 11.8% 11.3% 10.8% 11.8% 10.1% 8.6% 7.2% 4.8% 1.3%
Iain Jaeger 9.3% 10.9% 11.1% 10.3% 12.3% 11.6% 10.4% 9.3% 7.9% 5.1% 1.7%
Sylvia Burns 5.4% 6.6% 6.0% 7.3% 7.4% 9.2% 9.7% 11.6% 13.5% 15.2% 8.1%
Sean Crandall 4.5% 4.9% 5.3% 6.2% 6.2% 6.7% 8.3% 12.0% 13.4% 18.4% 14.0%
William Procter 1.4% 1.9% 1.6% 2.5% 3.2% 3.1% 5.2% 5.1% 8.3% 15.5% 52.2%
Harry Stevenson 5.2% 5.3% 5.7% 6.6% 7.3% 7.9% 8.8% 10.3% 12.6% 16.6% 13.7%
Keller Morrison 9.1% 8.6% 9.4% 9.6% 9.9% 11.3% 11.6% 10.8% 9.3% 7.8% 2.5%
Andy Leshaw 8.5% 8.0% 8.1% 8.7% 9.0% 8.6% 11.6% 10.8% 13.1% 8.9% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.