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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+11.15vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+2.15vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo1.34+11.26vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+1.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+3.99vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-0.79vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.77+1.25vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.80vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.95+2.47vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia3.01-2.42vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-6.50vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.40-6.10vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.84-5.22vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.51-4.74vs Predicted
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16Drexel University1.64-2.71vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.55-0.97vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.57-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.15Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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4.15Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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14.26University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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5.62Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
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6.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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9.25Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.2SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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5.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.9Fordham University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.78Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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10.26George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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13.29Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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16.03Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.27Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Geary | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 5.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.5% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 21.6% | 16.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christina Johns | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| Christopher Stessing | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Chris Myers | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 9.9% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 50.0% |
| Richard Ross | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.