Race 5A

icebreaker-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Niall Sheridan 18.4% 14.1% 14.1% 12.2% 11.3% 10.3% 8.5% 5.2% 3.4% 2.3% 0.1%
Sean Crandall 4.2% 4.7% 6.4% 5.8% 7.0% 7.8% 10.1% 8.3% 15.6% 16.6% 13.8%
William Wiegand 11.1% 11.5% 11.8% 13.0% 11.8% 10.0% 9.1% 8.6% 6.6% 4.9% 1.7%
Caitlin Derby 8.6% 9.7% 8.1% 9.6% 9.2% 10.9% 10.2% 11.4% 10.2% 8.4% 3.9%
Iain Jaeger 9.7% 13.4% 10.8% 12.2% 10.4% 10.6% 9.8% 8.8% 7.7% 5.0% 1.6%
Adam Larzelere 19.7% 16.5% 15.2% 12.2% 12.1% 8.6% 6.8% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Keller Morrison 9.9% 9.4% 9.6% 9.2% 11.2% 11.3% 10.0% 10.4% 8.8% 6.9% 3.2%
Harry Stevenson 4.6% 4.7% 6.1% 6.3% 7.2% 7.8% 10.0% 11.7% 14.0% 16.2% 11.4%
Sylvia Burns 5.2% 6.2% 6.6% 6.8% 7.4% 9.7% 10.2% 12.8% 11.3% 15.0% 9.0%
William Procter 2.0% 2.4% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.5% 4.6% 6.5% 8.8% 14.3% 50.9%
Andy Leshaw 6.8% 7.5% 9.4% 10.4% 9.8% 9.4% 10.8% 11.8% 10.8% 9.2% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.