← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.77+8.50vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+8.26vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College3.06+5.44vs Predicted
-
4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+7.83vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.01vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University4.36-1.91vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-1.83vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.82-2.46vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-2.84vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University1.64+3.43vs Predicted
-
11University of Buffalo1.34+3.19vs Predicted
-
12Washington College2.84-2.66vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.57+0.31vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University0.55+1.81vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University3.40-8.11vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia3.01-7.49vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University2.51-6.58vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania1.95-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.5Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
10.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
-
8.44SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
11.83Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
-
6.01U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
4.09Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
-
5.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
5.54Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
6.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
-
13.43Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
-
14.19University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
-
9.34Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
13.31Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
-
15.81Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
-
6.89Fordham University3.400.1%1st Place
-
8.51University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
10.42George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
-
12.08University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Robert Boger | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Steel | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christian Geary | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Michael Grove | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 18.2% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 10.9% |
| Luke Miller | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 19.2% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Richard Ross | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.7% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 45.8% |
| Alex Jacob | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Maria Sinagra | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Christina Johns | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.