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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.58+2.62vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.50+1.82vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+2.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles2.21+2.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.17+1.78vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis2.130.00vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.74-2.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley2.60-3.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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3.82Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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5.19University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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5.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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5.47Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.82University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Vetter | 21.5% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Nick Dugdale | 18.9% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Hester | 10.7% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Mark Anders | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 21.3% |
| Brian Hoover | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 20.6% |
| Patrick Soper | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 18.8% | 21.5% |
| Samuel Harrison | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% |
| Cody Shevitz | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.