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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+3.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.28vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.40+4.14vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+2.04vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.19vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.83vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.51+3.21vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.77+1.12vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+3.04vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.84-0.74vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia3.01-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.56vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo1.34+1.00vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.55+1.85vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-5.06vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.82-10.32vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.55-3.33vs Predicted
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18Drexel University1.64-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.14Fordham University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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8.19SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.21George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.12Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.04Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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9.26Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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12.56University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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14.0University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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15.85Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
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5.68Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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13.67Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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13.08Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 17.4% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Duncan Howes | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christian Geary | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stessing | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Luke Miller | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 16.6% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 47.2% |
| Robert Boger | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 12.9% |
| Chris Myers | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.