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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+3.86vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.68+4.96vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+4.83vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.90+2.28vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.86+1.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.47vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.31-2.56vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.74-0.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-5.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-3.45vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.67-4.03vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.00-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86University of California at Los Angeles1.7912.9%1st Place
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3.43University of Hawaii2.4123.6%1st Place
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7.96University of California at San Diego0.684.0%1st Place
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8.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.5%1st Place
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7.28University of Southern California0.905.5%1st Place
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7.01Boston University0.866.5%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Berkeley0.985.2%1st Place
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5.44California Poly Maritime Academy1.3110.3%1st Place
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8.78Arizona State University0.742.8%1st Place
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4.63University of California at Santa Barbara1.7814.1%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.2%1st Place
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7.97Western Washington University0.674.3%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Davis0.001.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Erik Anderson | 23.6% | 20.2% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Max Case | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 16.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Benjamin Luu | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Farmer | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.9% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| George Soliman | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| Dalton Lovett | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.