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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+3.51vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.34vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.86+4.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.79+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.68+2.86vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.00+1.78vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.74-0.27vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.90-2.83vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.31-5.35vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-4.52vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.67-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.7814.4%1st Place
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3.34University of Hawaii2.4123.2%1st Place
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7.12Boston University0.865.5%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Los Angeles1.7912.9%1st Place
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7.86University of California at San Diego0.685.3%1st Place
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8.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.1%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Berkeley0.984.9%1st Place
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9.78University of California at Davis0.002.5%1st Place
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8.73Arizona State University0.742.9%1st Place
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7.17University of Southern California0.906.0%1st Place
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5.65California Poly Maritime Academy1.319.7%1st Place
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7.48University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.3%1st Place
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8.16Western Washington University0.674.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 23.2% | 22.1% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Luu | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Grant Janov | 12.9% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Max Case | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 15.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 28.7% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 15.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
| Kyle Farmer | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| George Soliman | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Dalton Lovett | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.