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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.61+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.46+4.15vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.12+1.61vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.69+3.84vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.97-0.97vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.42+1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.25-5.48vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.76-3.59vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.03-2.95vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.50-4.99vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.16-2.20vs Predicted
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13University of Puget Sound-1.65-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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6.15University of Oregon0.460.1%1st Place
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4.61Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
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8.84Western Washington University-0.690.0%1st Place
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5.03University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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8.27Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
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2.52University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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5.41University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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7.05Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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6.01Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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9.8Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Jespersen | 16.9% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Halliday | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Derickson | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 19.9% | 13.1% |
| Neil Roberts | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Reid Henry | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 14.4% | 7.4% |
| Kris Thompson | 34.8% | 25.6% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Aaron Zilz | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 27.0% | 26.8% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 22.2% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.