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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+3.88vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.00+6.67vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.86+3.09vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.90+1.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.68-0.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.53vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-1.19vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.74-2.13vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.67-3.96vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88University of California at Los Angeles1.7913.2%1st Place
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3.34University of Hawaii2.4124.1%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Davis0.002.4%1st Place
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7.09Boston University0.867.0%1st Place
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5.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.3110.9%1st Place
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7.34University of Southern California0.905.3%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.4%1st Place
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7.89University of California at San Diego0.685.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Berkeley0.984.8%1st Place
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8.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.0%1st Place
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8.87Arizona State University0.743.6%1st Place
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8.04Western Washington University0.673.4%1st Place
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4.61University of California at Santa Barbara1.7812.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Erik Anderson | 24.1% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 26.5% |
| Benjamin Luu | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Farmer | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| George Soliman | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Noah Barton | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.3% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Max Case | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 15.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 16.2% |
| Dalton Lovett | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.