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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.33vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+2.42vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90+3.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.68+2.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-1.38vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.86+0.13vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+0.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.00+0.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.70vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-1.92vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-4.30vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.67-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93University of California at Los Angeles1.7912.3%1st Place
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3.33University of Hawaii2.4123.5%1st Place
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5.42California Poly Maritime Academy1.3110.4%1st Place
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7.27University of Southern California0.906.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at San Diego0.685.1%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Santa Barbara1.7813.0%1st Place
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7.13Boston University0.865.4%1st Place
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8.67Arizona State University0.743.6%1st Place
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9.68University of California at Davis0.002.4%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Berkeley0.986.5%1st Place
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9.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.8%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.1%1st Place
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8.12Western Washington University0.674.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 23.5% | 22.1% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Farmer | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Noah Barton | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 13.0% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Luu | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 26.7% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Max Case | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 17.2% |
| George Soliman | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
| Dalton Lovett | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.