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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.61+2.64vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.12+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.46+3.19vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.03+3.25vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.50+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.76-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-1.65+3.38vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.69-0.28vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.25-7.57vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.16-1.30vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.97-6.90vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.42-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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4.67Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Oregon0.460.1%1st Place
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7.25Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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6.09Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.72Western Washington University-0.690.0%1st Place
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2.43University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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9.7Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
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5.1University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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8.3Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Jespersen | 17.3% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 9.7% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eliza Pearce | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 2.9% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Kubler | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 47.4% |
| Evan Derickson | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 21.3% | 11.1% |
| Kris Thompson | 36.4% | 25.9% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Zilz | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 24.8% | 28.1% |
| Neil Roberts | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Reid Henry | 1.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.