← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+3.35vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.41+1.21vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego0.68+4.82vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California0.90+3.05vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+0.38vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles1.79-1.33vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University0.74+1.48vs Predicted
-
8Boston University0.86-1.11vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-1.56vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University0.67-2.25vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-2.20vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-0.08-2.29vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis0.00-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.7814.6%1st Place
-
3.21University of Hawaii2.4126.7%1st Place
-
7.82University of California at San Diego0.684.2%1st Place
-
7.05University of Southern California0.904.7%1st Place
-
5.38California Poly Maritime Academy1.319.8%1st Place
-
4.67University of California at Los Angeles1.7913.1%1st Place
-
8.48Arizona State University0.743.5%1st Place
-
6.89Boston University0.865.9%1st Place
-
7.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.7%1st Place
-
7.75Western Washington University0.674.4%1st Place
-
8.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.9%1st Place
-
9.71University of California at Berkeley-0.082.5%1st Place
-
9.45University of California at Davis0.003.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 26.7% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Kyle Farmer | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Grant Janov | 13.1% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% |
| Benjamin Luu | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| George Soliman | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Max Case | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.9% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 26.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.