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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.12+3.71vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.61+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.97+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.76+0.45vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.42+2.24vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.46-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.25-5.50vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.03-1.86vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.69-1.23vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.50-4.99vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-1.65-1.40vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.16-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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4.94University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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8.24Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Oregon0.460.1%1st Place
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2.5University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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7.14Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.77Western Washington University-0.690.0%1st Place
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6.01Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
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9.75Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Halliday | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ross Jespersen | 15.9% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Roberts | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Henry | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 7.9% |
| Eliza Pearce | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Kris Thompson | 36.0% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| Evan Derickson | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 11.7% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Kyle Kubler | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 20.9% | 50.6% |
| Aaron Zilz | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 26.0% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.