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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.11vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.74+6.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.79+1.68vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.90+0.95vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.65vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.67-0.06vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.08+0.92vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.68-2.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.00-1.62vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-4.60vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.86-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Hawaii2.4126.6%1st Place
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8.51Arizona State University0.743.4%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Los Angeles1.7913.1%1st Place
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5.32California Poly Maritime Academy1.3110.1%1st Place
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4.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.7814.9%1st Place
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6.95University of Southern California0.905.7%1st Place
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8.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.3%1st Place
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7.94Western Washington University0.673.3%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Berkeley-0.081.7%1st Place
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7.77University of California at San Diego0.684.9%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Davis0.002.5%1st Place
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7.4University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.7%1st Place
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6.96Boston University0.866.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Erik Anderson | 26.6% | 20.6% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Aidan Boylan | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% |
Grant Janov | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Kyle Farmer | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Jonathan Seawards | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Morgana Manti | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
Max Case | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% |
Dalton Lovett | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% |
Luc LaMontagne | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 28.4% |
Noah Barton | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 5.9% |
Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 20.9% |
George Soliman | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
Benjamin Luu | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.