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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.12+3.73vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.61+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.97+1.95vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.25-1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.76+0.50vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.50-0.87vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.03-0.89vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.42-0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.46-3.90vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-1.65-0.54vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.69-3.04vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.16-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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4.95University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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2.51University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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5.5University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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6.13Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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7.11Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.13Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.96Western Washington University-0.690.0%1st Place
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9.77Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Halliday | 10.5% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ross Jespersen | 16.8% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Roberts | 10.7% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 35.2% | 25.5% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Reid Henry | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 7.1% |
| Eliza Pearce | 3.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 19.7% | 48.1% |
| Evan Derickson | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 21.3% | 14.1% |
| Aaron Zilz | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 26.3% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.