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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.12+3.28vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.61+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.76+2.11vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.50+1.73vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.40-0.04vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.03-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.97-3.54vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.69-0.48vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.42-2.12vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.16-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound-1.65-1.47vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon0.46-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Western Washington University1.120.2%1st Place
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3.18University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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5.11University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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5.73Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Washington0.400.1%1st Place
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6.94Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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4.46University of British Columbia0.970.2%1st Place
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8.52Western Washington University-0.690.0%1st Place
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7.88Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.51Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Oregon0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Halliday | 15.4% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ross Jespersen | 24.4% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Cutter | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Neil Roberts | 15.2% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Evan Derickson | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 11.5% |
| Reid Henry | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 5.3% |
| Aaron Zilz | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 22.4% | 27.2% |
| Kyle Kubler | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 20.1% | 50.5% |
| Eliza Pearce | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.