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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.28vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.79+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90+3.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.68+1.74vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+0.17vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+0.54vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.00+0.47vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.67-2.11vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.86-4.04vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.08-2.08vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Hawaii2.4124.5%1st Place
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5.3California Poly Maritime Academy1.3110.5%1st Place
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4.69University of California at Los Angeles1.7913.2%1st Place
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7.01University of Southern California0.905.8%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.7815.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at San Diego0.684.3%1st Place
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7.17University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.7%1st Place
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8.54Arizona State University0.742.9%1st Place
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9.47University of California at Davis0.002.8%1st Place
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7.89Western Washington University0.674.2%1st Place
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6.96Boston University0.865.3%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Berkeley-0.082.1%1st Place
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8.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 24.5% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Farmer | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Grant Janov | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 15.0% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
| George Soliman | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 20.4% |
| Dalton Lovett | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Benjamin Luu | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 28.5% |
| Max Case | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.