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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.68vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.85+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74+1.52vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.33-1.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.25+1.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.70+1.14vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.07-3.39vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.41-2.78vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.51-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Hawaii0.9910.2%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.4422.9%1st Place
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5.89University of Southern California0.858.4%1st Place
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6.52University of Washington0.745.5%1st Place
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4.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.3314.7%1st Place
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5.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.919.3%1st Place
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9.64University of California at Berkeley-0.252.2%1st Place
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10.14University of California at San Diego-0.701.5%1st Place
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8.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.8%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Davis0.074.2%1st Place
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9.22Arizona State University-0.413.0%1st Place
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9.56Western Washington University-0.512.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ted McDonough | 22.9% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marlo Bozza | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Maxwell Roth | 14.7% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 19.9% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 27.6% |
| Florence Duff | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 15.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.