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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.12+3.70vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.25+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.97+1.98vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.61-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.76+0.48vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.03+0.23vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.50-2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound-1.65+1.45vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.69-1.23vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.42-2.82vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.16-2.18vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon0.46-6.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
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2.56University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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4.98University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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5.48University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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7.23Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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5.99Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.77Western Washington University-0.690.0%1st Place
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8.18Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.82Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Oregon0.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Halliday | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kris Thompson | 32.4% | 25.6% | 18.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Roberts | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ross Jespersen | 16.3% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 20.9% | 47.4% |
| Evan Derickson | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 11.7% |
| Reid Henry | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 8.1% |
| Aaron Zilz | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 27.1% | 27.9% |
| Eliza Pearce | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.