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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.27+4.88vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.50+2.94vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.60+1.94vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.19+1.84vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.44+0.48vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.21+1.37vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.67-2.59vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.19-1.35vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-0.35vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.88vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.26-0.24vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-1.97+0.09vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.93-2.94vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.57-5.50vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.68-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Penn State University0.279.8%1st Place
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4.94SUNY Maritime College0.5013.2%1st Place
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4.94Christopher Newport University0.6013.2%1st Place
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5.84Syracuse University0.199.4%1st Place
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5.48Columbia University0.4411.1%1st Place
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7.37William and Mary-0.215.7%1st Place
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4.41Virginia Tech0.6715.4%1st Place
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6.65Washington College0.197.0%1st Place
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8.65Rochester Institute of Technology-0.643.6%1st Place
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10.88SUNY Stony Brook-0.601.6%1st Place
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10.76University of Delaware-1.262.4%1st Place
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12.09Rutgers University-1.971.0%1st Place
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10.06Drexel University-0.932.4%1st Place
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8.5Princeton University-0.574.0%1st Place
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13.55U. S. Military Academy-2.680.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| James Lilyquist | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Maguire | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 8.2% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 6.5% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 24.7% | 22.5% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 4.4% |
| William Roberts | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.