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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.58+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.17+4.88vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.74+2.64vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley2.60+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.92-0.93vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.50-3.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis2.13-1.13vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-3.76vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles2.21-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Irvine2.170.1%1st Place
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5.64Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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5.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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3.82Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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5.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Vetter | 20.7% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Brian Hoover | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 22.2% |
| Samuel Harrison | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| Cody Shevitz | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Zachary Hester | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Nick Dugdale | 16.8% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 21.8% |
| Patrick Soper | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Mark Anders | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.