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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+4.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-2.55+1.84vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.33-0.28vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.25+3.76vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.07+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.85-1.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-3.16vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.41-0.81vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.44vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.51-2.46vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.70-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46University of Hawaii0.9910.1%1st Place
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3.56University of California at Santa Barbara1.4422.9%1st Place
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4.63University of California at Los Angeles1.3014.3%1st Place
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5.84University of Washington-2.558.8%1st Place
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4.72California Poly Maritime Academy1.3312.8%1st Place
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9.76University of California at Berkeley-0.251.6%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Davis0.074.5%1st Place
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6.05University of Southern California0.857.7%1st Place
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5.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.917.9%1st Place
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9.19Arizona State University-0.412.1%1st Place
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8.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.5%1st Place
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9.54Western Washington University-0.512.6%1st Place
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10.24University of California at San Diego-0.701.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Ted McDonough | 22.9% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Roth | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 21.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Marlo Bozza | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Colin Olson | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 14.8% |
| Florence Duff | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 19.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.