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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.46+4.16vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.12+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.61-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.97+0.03vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.03+0.21vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.42+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.76-3.57vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-1.65+0.51vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.50-4.94vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.16-2.21vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.69-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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6.16University of Oregon0.460.1%1st Place
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4.64Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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5.03University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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7.21Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.11Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.43University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
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6.06Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
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9.79Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
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8.84Western Washington University-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 31.4% | 25.8% | 19.3% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Halliday | 12.6% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ross Jespersen | 16.0% | 20.7% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Roberts | 9.6% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 2.1% |
| Reid Henry | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 8.1% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 21.7% | 46.1% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Aaron Zilz | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 23.9% | 29.3% |
| Evan Derickson | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 21.4% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.