← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.65vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+1.54vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington-2.55+2.71vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii0.99+1.57vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Davis0.07+2.70vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy1.33-1.24vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.52vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-2.02vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California0.85-2.93vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-0.25-0.29vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-0.51-1.44vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University-0.41-2.76vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-0.70-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.65University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.6%1st Place
-
3.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.4422.2%1st Place
-
5.71University of Washington-2.5510.2%1st Place
-
5.57University of Hawaii0.998.6%1st Place
-
7.7University of California at Davis0.074.0%1st Place
-
4.76California Poly Maritime Academy1.3312.7%1st Place
-
8.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.5%1st Place
-
5.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.918.4%1st Place
-
6.07University of Southern California0.857.8%1st Place
-
9.71University of California at Berkeley-0.251.9%1st Place
-
9.56Western Washington University-0.512.4%1st Place
-
9.24Arizona State University-0.412.2%1st Place
-
10.0University of California at San Diego-0.702.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 22.2% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 8.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Maxwell Roth | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% |
| Colin Olson | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Marlo Bozza | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 21.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 20.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 15.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.