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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.61+2.70vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.12+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.97+1.97vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.42+3.23vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.25-3.44vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.46-0.82vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.03-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.76-3.62vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-1.65+0.49vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.16-1.37vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.69-3.04vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.50-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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4.68Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
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4.97University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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8.23Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
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2.56University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
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6.18University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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7.11Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
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9.63Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
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8.96Western Washington University-0.690.0%1st Place
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6.11Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Jespersen | 17.0% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Halliday | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Neil Roberts | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Reid Henry | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 7.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 33.9% | 25.9% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 4.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 47.1% |
| Aaron Zilz | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 25.7% | 25.6% |
| Evan Derickson | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 21.6% | 14.8% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.