← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria1.61+2.64vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington2.25+0.54vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University1.12+1.62vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon0.46+2.21vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.42+3.25vs Predicted
-
6University of British Columbia0.97-1.00vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-1.16+2.62vs Predicted
-
8University of Puget Sound-1.65+2.45vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-0.69-0.21vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University0.50-3.95vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University0.03-4.59vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon0.76-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.64University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
-
2.54University of Washington2.250.3%1st Place
-
4.62Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
-
8.25Western Washington University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
5.0University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
-
9.62Western Washington University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
10.45University of Puget Sound-1.650.0%1st Place
-
8.79Western Washington University-0.690.0%1st Place
-
6.05Western Washington University0.500.1%1st Place
-
7.41Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
-
5.44University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Jespersen | 17.8% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 32.5% | 27.4% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eliza Pearce | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Reid Henry | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 9.0% |
| Neil Roberts | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Aaron Zilz | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 27.2% | 24.4% |
| Kyle Kubler | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 19.0% | 48.7% |
| Evan Derickson | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 11.3% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.