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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.96vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.99+1.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.08+0.14vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.33-1.13vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.92vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.07+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.85-2.80vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.74-3.08vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.51-1.17vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.25-1.84vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.41-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95University of California at Los Angeles1.3012.6%1st Place
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3.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.4420.3%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.7%1st Place
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5.79University of Hawaii0.9910.1%1st Place
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5.14University of California at San Diego-0.0811.4%1st Place
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4.87California Poly Maritime Academy1.3312.8%1st Place
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8.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.2%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Davis0.074.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Southern California0.857.8%1st Place
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6.92University of Washington0.746.5%1st Place
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9.83Western Washington University-0.512.1%1st Place
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10.16University of California at Berkeley-0.251.5%1st Place
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9.45Arizona State University-0.413.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 20.3% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Roth | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Florence Duff | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 6.9% |
| Marlo Bozza | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 23.8% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 28.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.