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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.48+1.85vs Predicted
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21.08+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.78+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.59+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.68-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.57+1.17vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.78+0.57vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.47-2.12vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-1.12-1.61vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.85-1.19vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.99-1.79vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.13-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Western Washington University1.480.3%1st Place
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3.581.080.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Oregon0.780.2%1st Place
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4.56University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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4.39University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
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7.17University of British Columbia-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.57Western Washington University-0.780.0%1st Place
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6.88Western Washington University-0.470.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
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9.81Western Washington University-1.850.0%1st Place
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10.21Western Washington University-1.990.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Martin | 26.6% | 23.9% | 19.2% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 18.3% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 15.2% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 9.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mallory | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Heather Dixon | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Thane Gill | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 5.0% |
| Colin Ridgley | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Emma Franz | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 8.2% |
| Hope Odendahl | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 21.0% | 31.9% |
| Nathalie Cushing | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 40.9% |
| Arek Chucovich | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.