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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+4.83vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+1.69vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+1.99vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.85+2.23vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74+1.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.08-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.06vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.07+0.15vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.13vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.17vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.25-1.11vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.41-2.44vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.51-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83University of Hawaii0.999.0%1st Place
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3.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.4420.0%1st Place
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4.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.3312.6%1st Place
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6.23University of Southern California0.857.8%1st Place
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6.79University of Washington0.746.7%1st Place
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5.34University of California at San Diego-0.0810.9%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.7%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Davis0.073.6%1st Place
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8.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.8%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.8%1st Place
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9.89University of California at Berkeley-0.252.1%1st Place
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9.56Arizona State University-0.412.4%1st Place
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9.89Western Washington University-0.512.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 20.0% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Roth | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marlo Bozza | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.8% |
| Florence Duff | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 12.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 27.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.