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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.48+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.78+2.13vs Predicted
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31.08+0.57vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.78+3.69vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.59-0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.13+2.43vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.68-2.74vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.47-1.14vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound-1.12-0.66vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.85-0.17vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.99-0.79vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.57-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Western Washington University1.480.3%1st Place
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4.13University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
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3.571.080.2%1st Place
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7.69Western Washington University-0.780.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.26University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
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6.86Western Washington University-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
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9.83Western Washington University-1.850.0%1st Place
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10.21Western Washington University-1.990.0%1st Place
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7.23University of British Columbia-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Martin | 27.3% | 21.9% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 13.3% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 18.5% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thane Gill | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 5.2% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Arek Chucovich | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 8.7% |
| Michael Mallory | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Ridgley | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Emma Franz | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 7.9% |
| Hope Odendahl | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 21.0% | 32.6% |
| Nathalie Cushing | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 40.5% |
| Heather Dixon | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.