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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+4.84vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.85+3.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.55+1.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.07+2.19vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.33-2.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.08-2.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.25+0.09vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.41-1.49vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-3.06vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.51-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84University of Hawaii0.999.7%1st Place
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3.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.4419.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Southern California0.856.6%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.5%1st Place
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6.14University of Washington-2.557.8%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Davis0.073.8%1st Place
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4.96California Poly Maritime Academy1.3312.1%1st Place
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5.13University of California at San Diego-0.0812.4%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.9%1st Place
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10.09University of California at Berkeley-0.251.7%1st Place
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9.51Arizona State University-0.412.8%1st Place
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8.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.9%1st Place
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9.92Western Washington University-0.511.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Ted McDonough | 19.0% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marlo Bozza | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% |
| Maxwell Roth | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 28.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 20.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 13.7% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.