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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.88vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.27+0.12vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-0.40vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.97+0.02vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.28-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88SUNY Stony Brook-0.5818.9%1st Place
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2.12Columbia University-0.2738.8%1st Place
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2.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.6723.9%1st Place
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4.02Syracuse University-1.977.0%1st Place
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3.38Syracuse University-1.2811.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Magill | 18.9% | 21.5% | 24.2% | 23.1% | 12.2% |
| Alexander Yuen | 38.8% | 27.5% | 19.5% | 11.3% | 2.9% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 23.9% | 25.7% | 24.9% | 17.8% | 7.8% |
| Elliot Taft | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 52.6% |
| Olivia Cross | 11.3% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 28.4% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.