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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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11.08+2.62vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.48+0.84vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.78+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.68+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.59-0.45vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.78+0.68vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.47-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-0.57-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-1.12-1.64vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.13-2.65vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.85-2.05vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.99-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.621.080.2%1st Place
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2.84Western Washington University1.480.3%1st Place
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4.16University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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7.68Western Washington University-0.780.0%1st Place
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6.85Western Washington University-0.470.0%1st Place
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7.12University of British Columbia-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
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9.95Western Washington University-1.850.0%1st Place
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10.14Western Washington University-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Hill | 18.8% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Martin | 27.6% | 24.1% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 14.7% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mallory | 10.8% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 12.1% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thane Gill | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| Colin Ridgley | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Heather Dixon | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Emma Franz | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 8.5% |
| Arek Chucovich | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 9.1% |
| Hope Odendahl | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 24.5% | 32.3% |
| Nathalie Cushing | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.