← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University-0.27+1.17vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.94vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-0.45vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-1.28-0.70vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-1.97-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17Columbia University-0.2737.6%1st Place
-
2.94SUNY Stony Brook-0.5817.6%1st Place
-
2.55SUNY Stony Brook-0.6724.9%1st Place
-
3.3Syracuse University-1.2813.6%1st Place
-
4.04Syracuse University-1.976.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Yuen | 37.6% | 27.2% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Magill | 17.6% | 21.9% | 23.1% | 23.8% | 13.7% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 24.9% | 25.8% | 25.9% | 16.3% | 7.1% |
| Olivia Cross | 13.6% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 27.1% | 23.2% |
| Elliot Taft | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 20.3% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.