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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.48+1.83vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.68+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.59+1.54vs Predicted
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41.08-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.57+2.24vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.470.00vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.13+0.36vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.78-1.45vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-1.12-1.63vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.85-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon0.78-7.75vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.99-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Western Washington University1.480.3%1st Place
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4.36University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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3.531.080.2%1st Place
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7.24University of British Columbia-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.0Western Washington University-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.55Western Washington University-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
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9.8Western Washington University-1.850.0%1st Place
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4.25University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
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10.18Western Washington University-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Martin | 28.3% | 23.2% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mallory | 11.2% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 18.9% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heather Dixon | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Colin Ridgley | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Arek Chucovich | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 10.7% |
| Thane Gill | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Emma Franz | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 7.8% |
| Hope Odendahl | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 23.7% | 30.3% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 13.9% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathalie Cushing | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.