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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.48+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.59+2.56vs Predicted
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31.08+0.55vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.78+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.68-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.57+1.16vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.78+0.57vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.47-2.13vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-1.12-1.60vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.85-1.19vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.99-1.80vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.13-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Western Washington University1.480.3%1st Place
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4.56University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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3.551.080.2%1st Place
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4.19University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
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7.16University of British Columbia-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.57Western Washington University-0.780.0%1st Place
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6.87Western Washington University-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
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9.81Western Washington University-1.850.0%1st Place
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10.2Western Washington University-1.990.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Martin | 26.5% | 24.7% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 10.5% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 20.1% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 13.0% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mallory | 13.0% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Heather Dixon | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Thane Gill | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
| Colin Ridgley | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Emma Franz | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 8.2% |
| Hope Odendahl | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 21.0% | 31.9% |
| Nathalie Cushing | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 40.9% |
| Arek Chucovich | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.