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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.90vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.54vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.27-0.79vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.28-0.70vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.97-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9SUNY Stony Brook-0.5820.0%1st Place
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2.54SUNY Stony Brook-0.6726.2%1st Place
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2.21Columbia University-0.2735.2%1st Place
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3.3Syracuse University-1.2812.9%1st Place
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4.06Syracuse University-1.975.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Magill | 20.0% | 20.6% | 23.2% | 22.1% | 14.2% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 26.2% | 24.9% | 24.7% | 17.3% | 6.9% |
| Alexander Yuen | 35.2% | 28.0% | 21.0% | 12.5% | 3.3% |
| Olivia Cross | 12.9% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 29.0% | 21.9% |
| Elliot Taft | 5.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.