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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+1.56vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-1.28+1.35vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.10vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.97+0.06vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.27-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56SUNY Stony Brook-0.6724.2%1st Place
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3.35Syracuse University-1.2812.2%1st Place
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2.9SUNY Stony Brook-0.5819.8%1st Place
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4.06Syracuse University-1.976.5%1st Place
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2.14Columbia University-0.2737.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Bittmann | 24.2% | 27.3% | 23.9% | 17.9% | 6.7% |
| Olivia Cross | 12.2% | 15.3% | 21.2% | 27.5% | 23.7% |
| Ryan Magill | 19.8% | 20.7% | 22.8% | 23.4% | 13.3% |
| Elliot Taft | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 53.1% |
| Alexander Yuen | 37.2% | 28.7% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.