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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon0.78+3.21vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.48+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.59+1.54vs Predicted
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41.08-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.68-0.63vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.57+0.18vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.47-1.15vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.78-1.43vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-1.12-1.62vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.85-1.19vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.99-1.79vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.13-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
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2.86Western Washington University1.480.3%1st Place
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4.54University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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3.571.080.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
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7.18University of British Columbia-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.85Western Washington University-0.470.0%1st Place
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7.57Western Washington University-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
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9.81Western Washington University-1.850.0%1st Place
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10.21Western Washington University-1.990.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Shoemaker | 13.1% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Martin | 28.2% | 22.3% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 18.6% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mallory | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Heather Dixon | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| Colin Ridgley | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Thane Gill | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 4.4% |
| Emma Franz | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 8.2% |
| Hope Odendahl | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 20.9% | 32.3% |
| Nathalie Cushing | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 22.3% | 40.7% |
| Arek Chucovich | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.