← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University-0.27+1.18vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.57vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University-1.28+0.32vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-1.12vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-1.97-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.18Columbia University-0.2735.9%1st Place
-
2.57SUNY Stony Brook-0.6725.9%1st Place
-
3.32Syracuse University-1.2813.6%1st Place
-
2.88SUNY Stony Brook-0.5819.1%1st Place
-
4.05Syracuse University-1.975.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Yuen | 35.9% | 28.6% | 20.2% | 11.9% | 3.4% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 25.9% | 24.0% | 24.6% | 17.6% | 7.8% |
| Olivia Cross | 13.6% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 28.4% | 23.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 19.1% | 22.4% | 23.1% | 22.6% | 13.0% |
| Elliot Taft | 5.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 19.5% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.