← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria0.59+3.64vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University1.48+0.86vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon0.78+1.17vs Predicted
-
41.08-0.49vs Predicted
-
5University of British Columbia-0.57+2.24vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.68-2.62vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.78-0.44vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-0.47-2.15vs Predicted
-
10University of Puget Sound-1.12-1.62vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-1.85-1.21vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University-1.99-1.81vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon-1.13-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.64University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
-
2.86Western Washington University1.480.3%1st Place
-
4.17University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
-
3.511.080.2%1st Place
-
7.24University of British Columbia-0.570.0%1st Place
-
4.38University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
-
7.56Western Washington University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
6.85Western Washington University-0.470.0%1st Place
-
8.38University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
-
9.79Western Washington University-1.850.0%1st Place
-
10.19Western Washington University-1.990.0%1st Place
-
8.44University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Le Baron | 11.4% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Martin | 27.3% | 23.9% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 14.3% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 18.1% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heather Dixon | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Michael Mallory | 12.7% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thane Gill | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 5.2% |
| Colin Ridgley | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Emma Franz | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 8.3% |
| Hope Odendahl | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 21.4% | 31.7% |
| Nathalie Cushing | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 40.4% |
| Arek Chucovich | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.