Race 3B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Abby Featherstone 9.2% 10.8% 12.2% 10.0% 13.3% 10.5% 12.9% 9.5% 6.7% 4.4% 0.5%
Emily Billing 11.5% 10.9% 11.5% 13.6% 10.1% 11.5% 9.4% 10.4% 7.1% 3.2% 0.8%
Sara Morgan Watters 24.1% 20.8% 17.6% 12.6% 9.3% 7.2% 4.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Corey Hall 9.5% 10.3% 8.7% 11.6% 12.0% 11.7% 10.2% 11.6% 7.5% 5.6% 1.3%
Morgan Wilson 13.7% 13.1% 12.0% 11.0% 10.3% 11.0% 8.6% 9.3% 5.9% 4.5% 0.6%
Kathryn Metscher 6.9% 8.0% 8.3% 8.8% 9.9% 9.4% 13.0% 11.0% 11.1% 11.4% 2.2%
Sara Burke 7.3% 5.7% 8.9% 6.5% 10.1% 9.8% 10.5% 12.0% 14.6% 11.2% 3.4%
Emilie Mademann 8.0% 8.3% 9.1% 11.9% 8.4% 10.5% 10.2% 10.8% 11.6% 8.9% 2.3%
Lauren Burke 6.8% 7.8% 7.0% 8.3% 9.2% 9.1% 11.9% 11.3% 14.7% 10.2% 3.7%
Francesca Ferrero 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 2.0% 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 4.6% 11.3% 72.3%
Mary Cummins 2.5% 3.7% 4.1% 4.7% 5.4% 7.5% 6.3% 8.6% 15.1% 29.2% 12.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.