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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University-1.01+2.32vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63+0.83vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.44-1.30vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.38-0.25vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.25-0.22vs Predicted
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6Mercyhurst University-2.11-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Penn State University-1.0111.8%1st Place
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2.83Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6317.6%1st Place
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1.7Queen's University0.4453.8%1st Place
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3.75Syracuse University-1.388.4%1st Place
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4.78Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.253.9%1st Place
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4.61Mercyhurst University-2.114.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Mascia | 11.8% | 19.4% | 22.9% | 23.0% | 16.4% | 6.5% |
| John Wynne | 17.6% | 26.0% | 26.0% | 19.3% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| Elle Pirie | 53.8% | 28.4% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 8.4% | 13.4% | 21.0% | 22.1% | 22.2% | 12.9% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 25.1% | 42.0% |
| Tabea Wieland | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 26.7% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.