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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University2.74+4.52vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.50+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis2.13+4.02vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California3.58-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles2.21+1.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.92-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine2.17-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley2.60-3.15vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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3.85Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Davis2.130.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Los Angeles2.210.1%1st Place
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5.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
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5.85University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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5.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Harrison | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 17.5% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 23.4% |
| Christopher Vetter | 19.4% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Mark Anders | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 19.3% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Zachary Hester | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Brian Hoover | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 21.3% |
| Cody Shevitz | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% |
| Patrick Soper | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.