Race 8B

frosh-soph

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicki Le Baron 10.9% 11.6% 12.2% 15.2% 14.6% 12.5% 10.4% 6.5% 3.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Michael Mallory 12.1% 13.8% 13.8% 13.5% 14.9% 13.2% 8.3% 5.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Gabe Hill 18.8% 17.9% 18.3% 14.9% 11.3% 9.4% 6.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Taylor Martin 28.4% 24.7% 17.0% 12.7% 8.8% 4.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Ridgley 3.5% 3.9% 5.8% 7.7% 7.9% 11.1% 13.3% 13.6% 10.9% 12.1% 7.5% 2.7%
Emma Franz 2.3% 1.8% 3.2% 4.1% 4.6% 6.3% 7.8% 11.8% 14.7% 17.4% 14.6% 11.4%
Hope Odendahl 1.5% 0.9% 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 2.7% 5.6% 7.0% 9.1% 13.2% 23.3% 30.5%
Nathalie Cushing 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 3.3% 4.1% 6.5% 9.0% 10.9% 20.3% 38.3%
Arek Chucovich 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 3.8% 4.3% 6.6% 10.0% 13.6% 14.6% 15.8% 15.7% 8.9%
Heather Dixon 3.8% 5.3% 4.3% 6.3% 8.0% 10.1% 11.7% 12.9% 16.6% 10.7% 7.2% 3.1%
Charles Shoemaker 13.6% 12.8% 16.3% 14.0% 12.9% 11.9% 8.7% 6.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Thane Gill 2.9% 4.1% 3.6% 3.8% 7.1% 8.4% 10.8% 14.2% 14.9% 15.3% 10.1% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.