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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.92vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.27+0.18vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-0.44vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.28-0.69vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.97-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92SUNY Stony Brook-0.5818.6%1st Place
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2.18Columbia University-0.2736.0%1st Place
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2.56SUNY Stony Brook-0.6726.4%1st Place
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3.31Syracuse University-1.2812.9%1st Place
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4.03Syracuse University-1.976.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Magill | 18.6% | 21.6% | 23.8% | 21.7% | 14.3% |
| Alexander Yuen | 36.0% | 29.4% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 4.4% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 26.4% | 24.4% | 23.1% | 18.7% | 7.4% |
| Olivia Cross | 12.9% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 28.5% | 22.1% |
| Elliot Taft | 6.0% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.