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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.85vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.62vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.28+0.32vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.27-1.82vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.97-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85SUNY Stony Brook-0.5819.3%1st Place
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2.62SUNY Stony Brook-0.6724.2%1st Place
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3.32Syracuse University-1.2813.9%1st Place
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2.18Columbia University-0.2736.2%1st Place
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4.04Syracuse University-1.976.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Magill | 19.3% | 22.1% | 24.6% | 22.7% | 11.3% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 24.2% | 25.0% | 23.8% | 18.8% | 8.1% |
| Olivia Cross | 13.9% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 26.9% | 24.1% |
| Alexander Yuen | 36.2% | 28.8% | 20.0% | 10.9% | 4.0% |
| Elliot Taft | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.