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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.59+3.56vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.48+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.68+1.35vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.78+3.66vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.78-0.84vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.47+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-1.12+1.30vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.85+1.81vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.99+1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.13-1.63vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.57-4.66vs Predicted
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131.08-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56University of Victoria0.590.1%1st Place
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2.8Western Washington University1.480.3%1st Place
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4.35University of Washington0.680.1%1st Place
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7.66Western Washington University-0.780.0%1st Place
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4.16University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
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6.97Western Washington University-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
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9.81Western Washington University-1.850.0%1st Place
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10.1Western Washington University-1.990.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Oregon-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.34University of British Columbia-0.570.0%1st Place
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3.581.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Le Baron | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Martin | 28.3% | 23.6% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mallory | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thane Gill | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 14.0% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Ridgley | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Emma Franz | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 9.8% |
| Hope Odendahl | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 33.6% |
| Nathalie Cushing | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 22.9% | 35.9% |
| Arek Chucovich | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 9.4% |
| Heather Dixon | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Gabe Hill | 18.1% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.