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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.90vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.59vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.27-0.82vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.28-0.71vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.97-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9SUNY Stony Brook-0.5819.3%1st Place
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2.59SUNY Stony Brook-0.6724.1%1st Place
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2.18Columbia University-0.2736.8%1st Place
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3.29Syracuse University-1.2813.7%1st Place
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4.04Syracuse University-1.976.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Magill | 19.3% | 21.2% | 22.9% | 23.3% | 13.3% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 24.1% | 27.3% | 22.7% | 17.2% | 8.6% |
| Alexander Yuen | 36.8% | 26.6% | 22.3% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Cross | 13.7% | 15.9% | 20.2% | 28.6% | 21.6% |
| Elliot Taft | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.