Race 10B

frosh-soph

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emma Franz 2.9% 3.6% 4.1% 5.3% 8.2% 14.8% 16.3% 17.4% 16.0% 11.4%
Hope Odendahl 1.1% 1.5% 2.4% 3.2% 4.2% 6.2% 11.3% 14.9% 22.6% 32.6%
Nathalie Cushing 1.7% 1.1% 1.1% 2.1% 4.1% 6.7% 8.8% 11.6% 24.0% 38.8%
Arek Chucovich 2.1% 2.8% 3.7% 5.3% 9.0% 15.1% 17.0% 19.0% 16.2% 9.8%
Heather Dixon 4.9% 5.8% 7.0% 9.9% 13.1% 16.8% 16.4% 14.7% 8.0% 3.4%
Gabe Hill 22.3% 21.6% 20.6% 16.3% 11.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Charles Shoemaker 14.6% 18.1% 20.8% 19.0% 14.3% 7.3% 4.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Taylor Martin 34.0% 23.8% 19.6% 13.4% 6.1% 2.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Thane Gill 3.6% 4.6% 4.6% 7.6% 13.2% 15.5% 17.9% 17.2% 12.0% 3.8%
Nicki Le Baron 12.8% 17.1% 16.1% 17.9% 16.3% 10.1% 6.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.