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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College1.73+3.17vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.11+1.57vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.95+0.89vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.55-1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland2.18-1.49vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.29-1.03vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.21-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.57Hampton University2.110.2%1st Place
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3.89Queen's University1.950.1%1st Place
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2.89Columbia University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.51University of Maryland2.180.2%1st Place
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4.97William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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5.01Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Schippe | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 14.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 15.7% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 6.4% |
| Paul Throop | 14.4% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% |
| Conor Cashel | 26.5% | 22.0% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 15.9% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
| Scott Guinn | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 29.1% |
| Scott Barnhill | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 21.4% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.