← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University-0.27+1.19vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.60vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.17vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-1.28-0.65vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-1.97-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19Columbia University-0.2735.6%1st Place
-
2.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.6724.3%1st Place
-
2.83SUNY Stony Brook-0.5821.0%1st Place
-
3.35Syracuse University-1.2812.3%1st Place
-
4.02Syracuse University-1.976.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Yuen | 35.6% | 28.6% | 20.2% | 11.7% | 3.8% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 24.3% | 25.2% | 24.3% | 18.4% | 7.8% |
| Ryan Magill | 21.0% | 21.1% | 23.5% | 22.2% | 12.1% |
| Olivia Cross | 12.3% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 26.9% | 24.6% |
| Elliot Taft | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 20.8% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.