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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+2.00vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+2.37vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.63+2.16vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.52+3.73vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.22-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.13+0.61vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-1.20vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.06-2.21vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.41-1.64vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.77-1.87vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.51-0.99vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-0.71vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.03-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0North Carolina State University1.5328.3%1st Place
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4.37Clemson University0.7313.1%1st Place
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5.16University of South Carolina0.6310.4%1st Place
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7.73The Citadel-0.523.7%1st Place
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4.69The Citadel1.2211.9%1st Place
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6.61University of North Carolina-0.135.1%1st Place
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5.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.158.9%1st Place
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5.79Duke University0.068.0%1st Place
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7.36The Citadel-0.413.9%1st Place
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8.13Clemson University-0.773.5%1st Place
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10.01University of Georgia-1.511.8%1st Place
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11.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.7%1st Place
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11.06University of North Carolina-2.030.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 28.3% | 22.1% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.1% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Prause | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Gregory Walters | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Cole McGee | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Patin | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 19.8% | 23.6% | 15.4% |
| Christine Moore | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 12.2% | 22.8% | 43.0% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 27.0% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.