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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+2.04vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.22+2.63vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73+1.32vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.52+3.66vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.63+0.20vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.77+1.97vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.41+0.46vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.13-1.32vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.06-3.20vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-4.11vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.51-1.00vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-0.55vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.03-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04North Carolina State University1.5326.4%1st Place
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4.63The Citadel1.2213.8%1st Place
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4.32Clemson University0.7314.3%1st Place
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7.66The Citadel-0.523.1%1st Place
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5.2University of South Carolina0.6310.4%1st Place
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7.97Clemson University-0.773.8%1st Place
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7.46The Citadel-0.413.7%1st Place
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6.68University of North Carolina-0.135.6%1st Place
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5.8Duke University0.067.8%1st Place
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5.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.158.3%1st Place
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10.0University of Georgia-1.511.5%1st Place
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11.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.5%1st Place
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10.91University of North Carolina-2.030.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 26.4% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.3% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Prause | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Ian Street | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Henry Parker | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 1.2% |
| John Cole McGee | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Patin | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 21.1% | 22.9% | 14.9% |
| Christine Moore | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 13.1% | 21.5% | 45.6% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 27.0% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.