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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.73+3.40vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.63+2.19vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.52+3.60vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.77+3.06vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.22-1.45vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-1.17vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.06-2.15vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.41-1.58vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.13-3.38vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.51-1.01vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-0.62vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.03-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Clemson University0.7313.9%1st Place
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3.08North Carolina State University1.5326.5%1st Place
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5.19University of South Carolina0.639.7%1st Place
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7.6The Citadel-0.524.2%1st Place
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8.06Clemson University-0.773.4%1st Place
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4.55The Citadel1.2213.2%1st Place
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5.83University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.157.5%1st Place
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5.85Duke University0.068.1%1st Place
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7.42The Citadel-0.413.8%1st Place
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6.62University of North Carolina-0.136.7%1st Place
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9.99University of Georgia-1.511.6%1st Place
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11.38University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.5%1st Place
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11.03University of North Carolina-2.031.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 13.9% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 26.5% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Prause | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Trevin Brown | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 2.5% |
| Gregory Walters | 13.2% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Parker | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| John Cole McGee | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 22.9% | 14.2% |
| Christine Moore | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 22.1% | 45.4% |
| Grayson Berrier | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 27.1% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.