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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+5.08vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.40+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.79vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.37+2.86vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.71+0.80vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.40+0.60vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.76+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland2.18-3.33vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.87-1.13vs Predicted
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10St. John's College0.50-1.53vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.65-4.92vs Predicted
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12Drexel University1.75-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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2.43Fordham University3.400.4%1st Place
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3.79University of Pennsylvania2.680.2%1st Place
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6.86William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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5.8Webb Institute1.710.1%1st Place
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6.6Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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7.87Queen's University0.760.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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8.47St. John's College0.500.0%1st Place
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6.08Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.56Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 37.2% | 24.6% | 16.0% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 15.3% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fast | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Hilary Grantmyre | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Steven Ross | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.