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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+4.86vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.22+2.55vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73+1.38vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.53-0.93vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.63+0.11vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.41+1.53vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.06-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.13-1.51vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.52-1.25vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.51+0.04vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.77-2.93vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-0.59vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.03-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.158.3%1st Place
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4.55The Citadel1.2212.7%1st Place
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4.38Clemson University0.7313.7%1st Place
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3.07North Carolina State University1.5327.4%1st Place
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5.11University of South Carolina0.6310.2%1st Place
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7.53The Citadel-0.414.6%1st Place
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5.82Duke University0.067.9%1st Place
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6.49University of North Carolina-0.135.9%1st Place
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7.75The Citadel-0.523.8%1st Place
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10.04University of Georgia-1.511.2%1st Place
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8.07Clemson University-0.772.9%1st Place
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11.41University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.5%1st Place
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10.92University of North Carolina-2.031.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Patin | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Gregory Walters | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.7% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 27.4% | 20.6% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Cole McGee | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Robert Prause | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 21.6% | 16.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Christine Moore | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 23.8% | 44.8% |
| Grayson Berrier | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 28.0% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.