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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+2.10vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+2.40vs Predicted
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3The Citadel1.22+1.46vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.06+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+0.84vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.77+1.98vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.13-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.63-2.79vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.41-1.54vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.52-2.27vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.51-0.99vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.03-1.12vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1North Carolina State University1.5325.6%1st Place
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4.4Clemson University0.7314.6%1st Place
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4.46The Citadel1.2214.1%1st Place
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5.89Duke University0.066.7%1st Place
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5.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.157.8%1st Place
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7.98Clemson University-0.773.6%1st Place
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6.63University of North Carolina-0.136.1%1st Place
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5.21University of South Carolina0.6310.7%1st Place
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7.46The Citadel-0.415.3%1st Place
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7.73The Citadel-0.522.6%1st Place
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10.01University of Georgia-1.511.4%1st Place
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10.88University of North Carolina-2.030.9%1st Place
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11.4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 25.6% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.6% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 14.1% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| John Cole McGee | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Ian Street | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Robert Prause | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 19.3% | 22.8% | 15.6% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 27.1% | 31.7% |
| Christine Moore | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 23.5% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.