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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.40+1.44vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+3.99vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.83vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.75+1.93vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.71+0.83vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.40+0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland2.18-2.42vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.65-2.01vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.76-1.10vs Predicted
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10St. John's College0.50-1.35vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.37-4.49vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo0.87-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Fordham University3.400.4%1st Place
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5.99Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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5.93Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.83Webb Institute1.710.1%1st Place
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6.66Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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4.58University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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5.99Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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7.9Queen's University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.65St. John's College0.500.0%1st Place
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6.51William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Jacob | 36.4% | 23.5% | 17.9% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 14.6% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fast | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 11.8% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilary Grantmyre | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Ross | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 35.3% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.